Cricket is a game of possibilities. Now take the T20 World Cup only. There is a strong possibility that India will play the semi-finals in the T20 World Cup. There are also equations which take Australia and Afghanistan to the semi-finals and eliminate India. Let us know what are those equations which eliminate India or Australia or Afghanistan from the semi-finals.
Before understanding the equation of the semi-finals of T20 World Cup 2024, let us look at the points table. Group-1 consists of India, Australia, Afghanistan and Bangladesh. All four have played two matches each. India is at first position with 4 points after winning both its matches. His net run rate is (2.425). Australia and Afghanistan are at second and third position respectively with 2-2 points. Australia (2.223) is at second place in the group due to better net run rate. Afghanistan’s net run rate is -0.650. Bangladesh (0) is at number four. Top-2 teams from each group will enter the semi-finals. Now each team has to play one match in Group-1.
1. Afghanistan benefits from India’s victory
Now India has to play Australia and Afghanistan has to play Bangladesh in Group-1. If the Indian team wins against Australia on June 24, it will directly reach the semi-finals. This will directly benefit Afghanistan, which has to face Bangladesh. Afghanistan will only have to defeat Bangladesh to reach the semi-finals.
2. If Australia and Bangladesh win…
If the Australian team defeats India and then the next day Bangladesh also wins its match, then the semi-final equation will become easier. If this happens, Australia will enter the semi-finals by being second with 4 points. Even if Bangladesh wins and Afghanistan loses, they will be out of the tournament. India will go to the semi-finals by being first in the group.
3. If India and Bangladesh win..
If India beats Australia then it will enter the semi-finals with 6 points. After this, if Bangladesh team defeats Afghanistan then it will get 2 points. Then Australia, Afghanistan and Bangladesh will have 2 points each and the team with better net run rate will play the semi-finals.
4. If Australia and Afghanistan win…
This is the equation that can also eliminate India from the race for the semi-finals. The interesting thing is that this is an equation which does not appear very difficult. History is witness to the fact that Australia has defeated India many times and Afghanistan has also defeated Bangladesh. If the Indian team loses on June 24 and Bangladesh loses on June 25, then Australia and Afghanistan will have 4 points each. India also has the same number of points. Then out of these three teams, the two teams with better run rate will qualify for the semi-finals.
5. How many runs does Australia-Afghanistan need to win?
If we assume that the Indian team loses to Australia and the Bangladesh team to Afghanistan in Group-1, then what will be the difference that will decide the race for the semi-finals. The answer to this is easy. If Australia’s team beats India by 41 runs, its net run rate will be the best. Then he will leave India behind and reach number one in the points table. The next day there will be a match between Afghanistan and Bangladesh. If Afghanistan wins this match by 83 runs, then it will also achieve a better net run rate than India. That means, if Australia wins the next match by 41 runs and Afghanistan by 83 runs, then India will be out of the race for the semi-finals.
Tags: ICC T20 World Cup, India vs Australia, T20 World Cup, Team india
FIRST PUBLISHED: June 23, 2024, 14:57 IST


